hello .no drop items belt Krabosa

Discussion in 'General Forum' started by cristianotto12345, Feb 5, 2020.

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  1. cristianotto12345

    cristianotto12345 Forum Greenhorn

    hello whay no drop belt karabosa have 5-6 mound farm and no drop this items :((((
  2. KingsGambit

    KingsGambit Forum Pro

    You probably mean Witch Seeker belt. It drops only from amphoras per 1 and 5 keys with 0.2% chance per 1 key amphora.
    Good luck ;):D
  3. heror

    heror Forum Baron

    how do u know the % chance if it was never officially stated ? Or thats wild assumption
  4. KingsGambit

    KingsGambit Forum Pro

    Not going to explain it every time sb asks. It's not official info - as anything alongside lootrates - but in my opinion has extreme probability to be correct.
  5. sargon234

    sargon234 Forum General

    Do you have anything to support your opinion? Like, numerical analysis and calculation? There must be a way that to prove that the probability is 0,2% for the 1 key amphora.
  6. KingsGambit

    KingsGambit Forum Pro

    There is no way to prove it other than miracle happens and dev confirms. But we do know stuff about lootrates in general from other sources don't we? :p Sometimes even dev confirmes our knowledge in non-direct way. So if you combine that knowledge with some stats + you get precised info from person you trust which matches your general knowledge and stats observation than you can say with high probability it's 0.2% ;) Not certain but exactly "high probability". However we don't have any "certain" information about those, at best 99% so for dear Lord don't catch me on not pointing out that isn't 100% confirmed :rolleyes::p
  7. sargon234

    sargon234 Forum General

    But how did you arrive at the extimate of 0,2% drop rate?You must have either numerical analysis or an algoritm that gives that result as an output
  8. KingsGambit

    KingsGambit Forum Pro

    Neither. It comes from knowledge about general lootrates. I could possibly write all existing lootrates - not for concrete items but in general - as there are floating informations about those and system but that would be almost certainly a ban on forum which I'm not eager to get with my history :rolleyes::D Those informations are quite possibly to be true but again - it's only high possibility, no assurance. It's much more concrete than urban legends though. If I would need to estimate chances of correctivness I would bet at least on 70%-80%. You can be non believer but isn't better to take it for granted? Doesn't seem like you have your own idea, maybe sb can have one which has some merit? You know... sth is better than nothing :) If I can get green light than sure I can type in values which I believe are correct, but without green light I'm not saying anything more :D I really don't know how much I can say, maybe even already did say too much.

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